Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Namazunda H.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Kiwambe L.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Kamuzu Barracks and Karonga United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karonga United come out ahead of Kamuzu Barracks on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kamuzu Barracks's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Kamuzu Barracks Clean Sheet 68%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kamuzu Barracks | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Super League
Kamuzu Barracks vs Karonga United
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Kamuzu Barracks vs Karonga United
1:0
Jul 7, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks
0:0
May 30, 2024 Super League
Kamuzu Barracks vs Karonga United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kamuzu Barracks Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Karonga United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiwambe L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kamuzu Barracks 77 / 100
Karonga United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kamuzu Barracks Karonga United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kamuzu Barracks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karonga United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Kamuzu Barracks stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Kamuzu Barracks scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Kamuzu Barracks VS Karonga United
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kamuzu Barracks
(Home) 05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1 Civo Utd
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2 Kamuzu Barracks
16 Aug
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 2 Mighty Wanderers FC
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0 Kamuzu Barracks
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1 MAFCO
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1 Civo Utd
16 Aug
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 2 Mighty Wanderers FC
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1 MAFCO
19 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
2 : 1 Blue Eagles
21 Jun
Kamuzu Barracks
1 : 2 Big Bullets
Page 1 of 3
Karonga United
(Away) 06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0 Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0 Karonga United
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1 Karonga United
21 Jun
Blue Eagles
3 : 2 Karonga United
27 May
Mighty Wanderers FC
4 : 1 Karonga United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27:11 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 20 |
| 10 | Civo Utd | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10:14 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9:19 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12:17 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck Sporting | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | 10 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
