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Kanchanaburi vs Muang Thong Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Kanchanaburi Province Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kanchanaburi play Muang Thong Utd in the Thai League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kanchanaburi averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Muang Thong Utd averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Kanchanaburi won 1, Muang Thong Utd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Kanchanaburi and 1.44 for Muang Thong Utd. This points to a Kanchanaburi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kanchanaburi
25%
Draws
35%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kanchanaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kanchanaburi picked up more points recently compared to Muang Thong Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 16%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kanchanaburi Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Muang Thong Utd
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Kanchanaburi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Townsend A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kanchanaburi 39 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kanchanaburi Muang Thong Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kanchanaburi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kanchanaburi attacking → ← attacking Muang Thong Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kanchanaburi scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Muang Thong Utd let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kanchanaburi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Muang Thong Utd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 25
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423