Sport Picks
Kanchanaburi vs Pathum United
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Kanchanaburi Province Stadium, Kanchanaburi 
Match Events
23'
23'
Gustavsson P.
Assist: Takagi Y.
32'
32'
Kamara A.
45'
45'
Ewerton
AI Match Summary
Pathum United in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pathum United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pathum United lately — more wins on the board than Kanchanaburi.
- Model gives Kanchanaburi a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 17%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kanchanaburi | Pathum United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Pathum United
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Kanchanaburi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kanchanaburi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavsson P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dolah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kanchanaburi 39 / 100
Pathum United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kanchanaburi Pathum United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kanchanaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kanchanaburi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Pathum United let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Kanchanaburi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kanchanaburi VS Pathum United
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kanchanaburi
(Home) 19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1 Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1 Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0 Chanthaburi
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4 Kanchanaburi
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1 Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1 Mahasarakham
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0 Chanthaburi
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1 Ratchaburi
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2 Chonburi
26 Apr
Kanchanaburi
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 3
Pathum United
(Away) 17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
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17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
