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Stadium Background

Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Kanchanaburi Province Stadium, Kanchanaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Denman A. In: Aranpiroj R.
Out: Denman A.
51' Event
Fudsuparp P.
Assist: Lucero J.
56'
Sub
Supunpasuch C. In: Ratniyorm S.
Out: Supunpasuch C.

AI Match Summary

Kanchanaburi in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kanchanaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kanchanaburi
20%
Draws
64%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sukhothai have won more games recently than Kanchanaburi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kanchanaburi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 17%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kanchanaburi Sukhothai
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Kanchanaburi
1:1
Apr 10, 2024 Thai FA Cup
Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fudsuparp P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sukhothai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kanchanaburi 31 / 100
Sukhothai 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kanchanaburi Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sukhothai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kanchanaburi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Sukhothai registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kanchanaburi VS Sukhothai
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kanchanaburi

(Home)
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Kanchanaburi
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
04 Apr
Kanchanaburi
0 : 2
Pathum United
21 Mar
Rayong FC
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
Page 1 of 6

Sukhothai

(Away)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)