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Kansas City Current W vs Bay FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women CPKC Stadium, Kansas City, MO
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Match Events

4' Event
Lema K.
Assist: Kundananji R.
24' Event
Hopkins H.
46' Event
Debinha
Assist: Hopkins H.

AI Match Summary

Kansas City Current W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kansas City Current W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kansas City Current W
20%
Draws
23%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kansas City Current W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kansas City Current W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Model gives Kansas City Current W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kansas City Current W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kansas City Current W Clean Sheet 19%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansas City Current W Bay FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Bay FC W
5:1
Sep 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
0:2
May 11, 2025 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Bay FC W
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kansas City Current W Compare

Top Goalscorer Debinha
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hopkins H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lema K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansas City Current W 85 / 100
Bay FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansas City Current W Bay FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kansas City Current W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Kansas City Current W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bay FC W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kansas City Current W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kansas City Current W VS Bay FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kansas City Current W

(Home)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2
Kansas City Current W
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Bay FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
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