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Kansas City Current W vs San Diego Wave W

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NWSL Women 2025 CPKC Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Kansas City Current W play San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kansas City Current W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. San Diego Wave W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Kansas City Current W won 4, San Diego Wave W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Kansas City Current W and 1.19 for San Diego Wave W. This points to a Kansas City Current W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kansas City Current W
15%
Draws
33%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kansas City Current W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Kansas City Current W picked up more points recently compared to San Diego Wave W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Kansas City Current W Clean Sheet 20%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kansas City Current W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 19 14
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Kansas City Current W vs San Diego Wave W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Kansas City Current W
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs San Diego Wave W
4:1
Mar 24, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Kansas City Current W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kansas City Current W Compare

Top Goalscorer Debinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prince N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kansas City Current W 51 / 100
San Diego Wave W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kansas City Current W San Diego Wave W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kansas City Current W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kansas City Current W attacking → ← attacking San Diego Wave W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kansas City Current W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

San Diego Wave W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kansas City Current W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Diego Wave W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 48
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420