Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KaPa vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga 2025 Brahenkentta
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Manneh F.
Assist: Koivuranta T.
42' Event
Olanrewaju M.
46'
Sub
Cukici D. In: Jouhi A.
Out: Cukici D.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga 2025 game between KaPa and SalPa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
KaPa
20%
Draws
38%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KaPa come out ahead of SalPa on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on KaPa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaPa SalPa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs SalPa
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs KaPa
1:0
May 21, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs SalPa
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs KaPa
1:4
Jun 12, 2024 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs KaPa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Manneh F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Olanrewaju M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtisalo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaPa 40 / 100
SalPa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaPa SalPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KaPa found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

KaPa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KaPa VS SalPa
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lahti27177354:3058
2TPS27165666:4553
3Jippo271011637:3141
4Ekenas IF271251048:4341
5PK-3527119739:3040
6Klubi 04271161049:4539
7JaPS27711941:5032
8SJK Akatemia27851446:4929
9KaPa27481541:6820
10SalPa27432022:5215