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Kapaz 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Karimov C.
86' Event
Karimov C.
90' Event
Huseynli H.

AI Match Summary

Kapaz 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kapaz 2
15%
Draws
34%
Qarabag Agdam 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kapaz 2 have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam 2.
  • Model gives Qarabag Agdam 2 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz 2 Qarabag Agdam 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2023 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
2:1
Nov 9, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Kapaz 2
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Qarabag Agdam 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseynli H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 2 28 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz 2 Qarabag Agdam 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kapaz 2 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Qarabag Agdam 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Qarabag Agdam 2 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz 2 VS Qarabag Agdam 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
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Qarabag Agdam 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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