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Stadium Background

Kapaz vs Agstafa Gencleri

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Asurov S.
35' Event
Huseynli R.
41' Event
Shafiyev S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-1. This leg finished 6-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kapaz
25%
Draws
35%
Agstafa Gencleri
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kapaz lately — more wins on the board than Agstafa Gencleri.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kapaz taking it.
  • Kapaz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kapaz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 19%
Agstafa Gencleri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Agstafa Gencleri
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 9 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Agstafa Gencleri
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Asurov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huseynli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Agstafa Gencleri Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseynov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 40 / 100
Agstafa Gencleri 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Agstafa Gencleri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agstafa Gencleri let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Kapaz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kapaz scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

Agstafa Gencleri

(Away)
28 Oct
Kapaz
6 : 1
Agstafa Gencleri

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1