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Kapaz vs Qarabag Agdam 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2020/2021 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2020/2021 game between Kapaz and Qarabag Agdam 2 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kapaz
20%
Draws
29%
Qarabag Agdam 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam 2 come out ahead of Kapaz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Qarabag Agdam 2 a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 19%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Qarabag Agdam 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.69 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Kapaz
2:1
Sep 28, 2021 I Liqa
Kapaz vs Qarabag Agdam 2
4:2
May 1, 2021 I Liqa
Kapaz vs Qarabag Agdam 2
0:0
Mar 5, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Kapaz
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 I Liqa
Kapaz vs Qarabag Agdam 2
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 24 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Qarabag Agdam 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kapaz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Qarabag Agdam 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kapaz's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
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Qarabag Agdam 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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