Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapfenberg vs FC Liefering

Austria Austria

2. Liga 2025/2026 Alpenstadion, Kapfenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Verhounig P.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Krasniqi B.
23' Event
Zangerl J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga 2025/2026 game between Kapfenberg and FC Liefering finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Liefering.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kapfenberg
15%
Draws
59%
FC Liefering
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Liefering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Kapfenberg haven't matched FC Liefering's recent run of results.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Kapfenberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Liefering here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%
FC Liefering Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapfenberg FC Liefering
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs FC Liefering
0:4
May 2, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs FC Liefering
1:4
Nov 7, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Kapfenberg
5:2
Apr 11, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs FC Liefering
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Liefering Compare

Top Goalscorer Zangerl J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adejenughure O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapfenberg 56 / 100
FC Liefering 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapfenberg FC Liefering

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapfenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: FC Liefering conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Kapfenberg's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kapfenberg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kapfenberg VS FC Liefering
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapfenberg

(Home)
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
21 Aug
A. Salzburg
3 : 2
Kapfenberg
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FC Liefering

(Away)
18 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
4 : 0
FC Liefering
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
28 Aug
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 3
FC Liefering
21 Aug
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
16 Aug
First Vienna
2 : 2
FC Liefering
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lustenau 28 16 6 6 40:26 54
2 St. Polten 28 16 5 7 44:26 53
3 Admira 28 12 12 4 50:29 48
4 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 28 14 6 8 42:18 48
5 FC Liefering 28 13 8 7 47:41 47
6 Amstetten 28 11 11 6 41:34 44
7 First Vienna 28 11 7 10 30:25 40
8 Austria Vienna (Am) 28 11 6 11 33:40 39
9 A. Salzburg 28 9 10 9 36:37 37
10 Hogo Hertha Wels 28 9 6 13 36:37 33
11 Rapid Vienna II 28 9 5 14 33:45 32
12 A. Klagenfurt 28 9 6 13 33:44 30
13 Kapfenberg 28 8 4 16 31:53 28
14 Sturm II 28 5 6 17 25:45 21
15 SW Bregenz 28 3 10 15 36:57 16
16 Stripfing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)