Sport Picks

Austria

2. Liga 2025/2026 Alpenstadion

Kapfenberg

0 - 3

St. Polten

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Breit P.

25'

Buchegger L.

27'

Messerer C.

Assist: Ferstl V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga 2025/2026 game between Kapfenberg and St. Polten finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Kapfenberg

20%

Draws

38%

St. Polten

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kapfenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

St. Polten carry the better recent record into this one.
Kapfenberg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular 2. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors St. Polten here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 18%

St. Polten Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kapfenberg	St. Polten
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	9	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 2. Liga

Kapfenberg vs St. Polten

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Nov 23, 2025 2. Liga

St. Polten vs Kapfenberg

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Mar 7, 2025 2. Liga

St. Polten vs Kapfenberg

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Aug 23, 2024 2. Liga

Kapfenberg vs St. Polten

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Mar 8, 2024 2. Liga

St. Polten vs Kapfenberg

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapfenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Messerer C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hausjell M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapfenberg 41 / 100

St. Polten 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kapfenberg St. Polten

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapfenberg's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Kapfenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Polten has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kapfenberg VS St. Polten

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lustenau	28	16	6	6	40:26	54
2	St. Polten	28	16	5	7	44:26	53
3	Admira	28	12	12	4	50:29	48
4	Floridsdorfer AC Wien	28	14	6	8	42:18	48
5	FC Liefering	28	13	8	7	47:41	47
6	Amstetten	28	11	11	6	41:34	44
7	First Vienna	28	11	7	10	30:25	40
8	Austria Vienna (Am)	28	11	6	11	33:40	39
9	A. Salzburg	28	9	10	9	36:37	37
10	Hogo Hertha Wels	28	9	6	13	36:37	33
11	Rapid Vienna II	28	9	5	14	33:45	32
12	A. Klagenfurt	28	9	6	13	33:44	30
13	Kapfenberg	28	8	4	16	31:53	28
14	Sturm II	28	5	6	17	25:45	21
15	SW Bregenz	28	3	10	15	36:57	16
16	Stripfing	0	0	0	0	0:0	0