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Kapfenberg vs St. Polten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Alpenstadion, Kapfenberg
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kapfenberg host St. Polten in the 2. Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. St. Polten have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Kapfenberg have conceded 1.97 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor St. Polten slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward St. Polten. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kapfenberg
15%
Draws
85%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Polten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Polten's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Polten have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 16%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapfenberg St. Polten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs St. Polten
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Kapfenberg
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Kapfenberg
3:1
Aug 23, 2024 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs St. Polten
2:0
Mar 8, 2024 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Kapfenberg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapfenberg 19 / 100
St. Polten 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapfenberg St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Kapfenberg scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: St. Polten registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kapfenberg VS St. Polten
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapfenberg

(Home)
09 Oct
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
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St. Polten

(Away)
09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1
St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 First Vienna 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Amstetten 8 3 4 1 15:12 13
5 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
11 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
12 St. Polten 8 3 0 5 7:9 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 8 1 0 7 9:18 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)