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Stadium Background

Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Esteghlal Molasani

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Ahmadzadeh M.

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
6%
Draws
4%
Esteghlal Molasani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kara Gostar Shabestar lately — more wins on the board than Esteghlal Molasani.
  • Win probability leans Kara Gostar Shabestar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Esteghlal Molasani
1:0
Oct 20, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmadzadeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 95 / 100
Esteghlal Molasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Esteghlal Molasani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Esteghlal Molasani conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Esteghlal Molasani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kara Gostar Shabestar's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724