Sport Picks
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Navad Urmia Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
56'
56'
Delavarzadeh M.
75'
75'
Delavarzadeh M.
84'
84'
Delavarzadeh M.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Kara Gostar Shabestar and Navad Urmia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kara Gostar Shabestar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Navad Urmia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kara Gostar Shabestar's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 68%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kara Gostar Shabestar | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Navad Urmia
3:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare
Top Goalscorer Delavarzadeh M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Navad Urmia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kara Gostar Shabestar 95 / 100
Navad Urmia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kara Gostar Shabestar Navad Urmia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kara Gostar Shabestar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navad Urmia lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Navad Urmia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Navad Urmia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kara Gostar Shabestar
(Home) 28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
15 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Navad Urmia
(Away) 16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4 Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
16 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
0 : 0 Navad Urmia
02 Jun
Havadar SC
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 May
Mazandaran
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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