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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Niroye Zamini - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar host Niroye Zamini in the Azadegan League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Niroye Zamini have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Kara Gostar Shabestar have conceded 0.84 and scored 0.55. Head-to-head, Kara Gostar Shabestar have won 2 to Niroye Zamini's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 2, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.63) back Kara Gostar Shabestar to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
30%
Draws
31%
Niroye Zamini
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kara Gostar Shabestar lately — more wins on the board than Niroye Zamini.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Niroye Zamini Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Niroye Zamini
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 13
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.55 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Niroye Zamini
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
5:0
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Niroye Zamini
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 31 / 100
Niroye Zamini 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Niroye Zamini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kara Gostar Shabestar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Niroye Zamini lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Niroye Zamini
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
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Niroye Zamini

(Away)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0 : 1
Niroye Zamini
16 Jul
Niroye Zamini
0 : 2
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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