Sport Picks
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Shahrdari Noshahr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
90'
90'
Saghebi S.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Kara Gostar Shabestar and Shahrdari Noshahr finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kara Gostar Shabestar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Shahrdari Noshahr on wins alone.
- Kara Gostar Shabestar are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kara Gostar Shabestar | Shahrdari Noshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Shahrdari Noshahr
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare
Top Goalscorer Saghebi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Shahrdari Noshahr Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kara Gostar Shabestar 36 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kara Gostar Shabestar Shahrdari Noshahr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shahrdari Noshahr has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Kara Gostar Shabestar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Kara Gostar Shabestar found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Shahrdari Noshahr
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kara Gostar Shabestar
(Home) 04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
15 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Shahrdari Noshahr
(Away) 16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
10 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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