Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kucuk M. H.
38' Event
Olmez M.
51' Event
Tak E.

AI Match Summary

Arguvan in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arguvan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
15%
Draws
26%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Karabuk Idmanyurdu have won more games recently than Arguvan.
  • Win probability leans Karabuk Idmanyurdu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 20%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karabuk Idmanyurdu Arguvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Arguvan
2:5
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorlu Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucuk M. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olmez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 85 / 100
Arguvan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Arguvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karabuk Idmanyurdu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arguvan conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karabuk Idmanyurdu VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Home)
03 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Amasyaspor
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
13 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
1 : 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 5
Bulvarspor
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Arguvan

(Away)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)