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Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Sebat Spor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sonmezsoy V.
65' Event
Cengiz B.
Assist: Kahya S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Karabuk Idmanyurdu and Sebat Spor Kulubu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
39%
Draws
31%
Sebat Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sebat Spor Kulubu come out ahead of Karabuk Idmanyurdu on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 68%
Sebat Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karabuk Idmanyurdu Sebat Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Sebat Spor Kulubu
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Sebat Spor Kulubu vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cengiz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sebat Spor Kulubu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 41 / 100
Sebat Spor Kulubu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Sebat Spor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karabuk Idmanyurdu found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sebat Spor Kulubu let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karabuk Idmanyurdu VS Sebat Spor Kulubu
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Home)
18 Apr
Giresunspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
2 : 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
24 Mar
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
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Sebat Spor Kulubu

(Away)
18 Apr
Sebat Spor Kulubu
2 : 3
Yozgat
12 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Sebat Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Sebat Spor Kulubu
3 : 1
Bulancakspor
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Sebat Spor Kulubu
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)