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Karacabey Bld. vs K. Istklalspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karacabey Bld. host K. Istklalspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. Little to choose between these two on current form. K. Istklalspor have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Karacabey Bld. have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring K. Istklalspor. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karacabey Bld.
20%
Draws
33%
K. Istklalspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Karacabey Bld. haven't matched K. Istklalspor's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 18%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karacabey Bld. K. Istklalspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.48 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karacabey Bld. 31 / 100
K. Istklalspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karacabey Bld. K. Istklalspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karacabey Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karacabey Bld. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Karacabey Bld. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

K. Istklalspor has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

K. Istklalspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karacabey Bld. VS K. Istklalspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karacabey Bld.

(Home)
11 Oct
Karacabey Bld.
2 : 2
Trabzon FK
07 Oct
Karacabey Bld.
3 : 2
Galata Spor Kulubu
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
Page 1 of 6

K. Istklalspor

(Away)
10 Oct
12 Bingol Spor
2 : 1
K. Istklalspor
04 Oct
K. Istklalspor
1 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1
K. Istklalspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Adana 01 6 4 1 1 12:10 13
3 52 Orduspor 6 4 0 2 12:5 12
4 24Erzincanspor 6 3 3 0 12:8 12
5 Ankara Demirspor 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
6 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
7 Trabzon FK 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
8 12 Bingol Spor 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
9 Karacabey Bld. 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
10 K. Istklalspor 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
11 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
12 Serik Spor 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
13 Kirklarelispor 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
14 Inegolspor 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Fethiyespor 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
16 Kutahyaspor 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
17 Iskenderunspor 5 0 1 4 5:15 -1
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)