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Karadeniz Eregli vs Hopaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Bilen N.
Assist: Guler E. K.

AI Match Summary

Karadeniz Eregli in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Karadeniz Eregli
28%
Draws
50%
Hopaspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Karadeniz Eregli have won more games recently than Hopaspor.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hopaspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 20%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Hopaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Hopaspor
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hopaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 24 / 100
Hopaspor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Hopaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Karadeniz Eregli scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karadeniz Eregli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Hopaspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karadeniz Eregli

(Home)
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3
Yozgat
24 Apr
Yozgat
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
18 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
5 : 3
Orduspor 1967
12 Apr
Bulancakspor
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
Page 1 of 6

Hopaspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Hopaspor
7 : 3
Bulancakspor
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
25 Mar
Hopaspor
2 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)