Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2

Osmaniyespor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karakopru play Osmaniyespor in the 3. Lig Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karakopru averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Osmaniyespor averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Karakopru won 4, Osmaniyespor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Karakopru and 1.44 for Osmaniyespor. This points to a Karakopru double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Karakopru

15%

Draws

37%

Osmaniyespor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karakopru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Karakopru picked up more points recently compared to Osmaniyespor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Karakopru Clean Sheet 16%

Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karakopru	Osmaniyespor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	7	6
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.33	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 2

Karakopru vs Osmaniyespor

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Nov 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 2

Osmaniyespor vs Karakopru

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 3

Karakopru vs Osmaniyespor

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 3

Osmaniyespor vs Karakopru

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Oct 22, 2020 Turkish Cup

Karakopru vs Osmaniyespor

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karakopru Compare

Top Goalscorer Demirel G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Osmaniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yilmaz M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karakopru 46 / 100

Osmaniyespor 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karakopru Osmaniyespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karakopru or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karakopru attacking → ← attacking Osmaniyespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karakopru scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Osmaniyespor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Karakopru went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Osmaniyespor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 42

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	12 Bingol Spor	30	17	9	4	60:28	60
2	Erciyes 38	30	13	10	7	42:31	49
3	Silifke	30	12	12	6	41:26	48
4	Malatya	30	13	8	9	45:35	47
5	Mazidagi	30	12	11	7	32:24	47
6	Agri 1970	30	12	9	9	57:33	45
7	Karakopru	30	12	8	10	38:42	44
8	Osmaniyespor	30	12	6	12	42:40	42
9	Nigde	30	11	8	11	44:36	41
10	Kirikkale FK	30	11	7	12	39:51	40
11	Kirsehir SK	30	7	13	10	37:38	34
12	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	8	10	12	33:42	34
13	Kahramanmarasspor	30	7	11	12	35:48	32
14	Kilis Bld.	30	8	6	16	25:53	30
15	Suvermez Kapadokyaspor	30	5	13	12	29:47	28
16	Turk Metal 1963	30	4	11	15	30:55	20