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Karancslapujto vs Tiszafuredi

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Hungarian Cup 2024/2025 encounter between Karancslapujto and Tiszafuredi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Karancslapujto averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Tiszafuredi shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Karancslapujto, 1 wins for Tiszafuredi, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.08.24 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Karancslapujto and 1.30 for Tiszafuredi, suggesting the primary value lies in the Tiszafuredi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Karancslapujto
18%
Draws
54%
Tiszafuredi
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Tiszafuredi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Karancslapujto picked up more points recently compared to Tiszafuredi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Karancslapujto Clean Sheet 19%
Tiszafuredi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karancslapujto Tiszafuredi
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.6 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.08.24 Hungarian Cup
Karancslapujto vs Tiszafuredi
1:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Karancslapujto

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Tiszafuredi

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karancslapujto 29 / 100
Tiszafuredi 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karancslapujto Tiszafuredi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiszafuredi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Tiszafuredi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Tiszafuredi will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Karancslapujto 31%
Tiszafuredi 43%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Karancslapujto will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Tiszafuredi's early runs.

Karancslapujto 27%
Tiszafuredi 57%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Tiszafuredi to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Karancslapujto tries to push forward.

Karancslapujto 28%
Tiszafuredi 54%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Tiszafuredi increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Karancslapujto 29%
Tiszafuredi 51%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Karancslapujto's defense, opening up opportunities for Tiszafuredi's forward line.

Karancslapujto 25%
Tiszafuredi 59%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Tiszafuredi to manage the closing stages, while Karancslapujto searches for late drama.

Karancslapujto 32%
Tiszafuredi 62%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karancslapujto attacking → ← attacking Tiszafuredi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karancslapujto have found the net in 60% of their last 10 matches.

Tiszafuredi have conceded at least one goal in 61% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Karancslapujto remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Tiszafuredi suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 61
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13