Sport Picks
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
35'
35'
Bindjeme S.
Own Goal
50'
50'
Boudrama A.
Assist: Hatem A. H.
63'
63'
Amutu A.
Assist: Alwan A.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Karbala and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Quwa Al Jawiya have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Karbala Clean Sheet 16%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karbala | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:3
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
0:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:4
Feb 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karbala Compare
Top Goalscorer Amutu A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akpudje J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Boudrama A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jawad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karbala 28 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Karbala's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Karbala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Karbala VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karbala
(Home) 10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Karbala
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1 Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Hudod
Page 1 of 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Minaa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Kahraba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
