Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Artien M.
68'
68'
Cabrera M.
Assist: Sherif M.
90'
90'
Adnan A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Zawraa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Karbala.
- Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Karbala Clean Sheet 25%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karbala | Al Zawraa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Zawraa
1:1
Feb 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
3:1
Jun 18, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
5:2
Feb 15, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Zawraa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karbala Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Al Zawraa Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karbala 10 / 100
Al Zawraa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karbala Al Zawraa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Zawraa has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Karbala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Karbala scored in 56% of their last 27 games.
Scoring Trends
Karbala VS Al Zawraa
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karbala
(Home) 04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0 Karbala
26 Aug
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Karbala
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
16 Aug
Al Shorta
1 : 1 Karbala
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3 Al-Hudod
27 Jun
Karbala
2 : 4 Al Naft
13 Jun
Karbala
0 : 2 Al-Karma
Page 1 of 3
Al Zawraa
(Away) 03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Zakho
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
15 Aug
Al Zawraa
0 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0 Al Zawraa
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1 Al Zawraa
10 May
Al Minaa
0 : 2 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Al-Karma | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Naft | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Mosul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 8 | Duhok | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Al Talaba | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Newroz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Diyala | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Zakho | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Karbala | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
