Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Artien M.
68'
68'
Cabrera M.
Assist: Sherif M.
90'
90'
Adnan A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Zawraa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Karbala.
- Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Karbala Clean Sheet 16%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karbala | Al Zawraa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Zawraa
1:1
Feb 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
3:1
Jun 18, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Karbala
5:2
Feb 15, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Zawraa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karbala Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Zawraa Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karbala 28 / 100
Al Zawraa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karbala Al Zawraa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Karbala scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Al Zawraa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Al Zawraa let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Karbala VS Al Zawraa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karbala
(Home) 23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2 Karbala
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Karbala
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1 Karbala
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16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 3
Al Zawraa
(Away) 23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2 Al Shorta
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0 Al Zawraa
13 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0 Al Zawraa
13 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | 14 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 15 | Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
