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Karbi Anglong vs Downtown Heroes

India India

I-League 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karbi Anglong play Downtown Heroes in the I-League 3 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karbi Anglong averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Downtown Heroes averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Karbi Anglong won 1, Downtown Heroes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Karbi Anglong and 1.38 for Downtown Heroes. This points to a Karbi Anglong double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karbi Anglong
19%
Draws
34%
Downtown Heroes
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Karbi Anglong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Karbi Anglong picked up more points recently compared to Downtown Heroes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Karbi Anglong Clean Sheet 17%
Downtown Heroes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbi Anglong Downtown Heroes
Matches Played 19 25
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.11 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 I-League 3
Karbi Anglong vs Downtown Heroes
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbi Anglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragui S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khongsai R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Downtown Heroes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbi Anglong 46 / 100
Downtown Heroes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbi Anglong Downtown Heroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karbi Anglong or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karbi Anglong attacking → ← attacking Downtown Heroes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbi Anglong scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Downtown Heroes let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Karbi Anglong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Downtown Heroes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 31
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Diamond Harbour440011:212
2KLASA42114:47
3Karbi Anglong420211:86
4Sesa FA41125:74
5Downtown Heroes40043:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chanmari440010:112
2SAT Tirur42118:67
3MYJ-GMSC42024:56
4Abbas Union40224:62
5Dalbir FA40131:91