Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kasprzyk D.
41' Event
Haraszkiewicz P.
43' Event
Bednarczyk P.

AI Match Summary

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
39%
Draws
30%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Carina Gubin haven't matched Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 12%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Carina Gubin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Carina Gubin
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:2
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Carina Gubin
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Carina Gubin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraszkiewicz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bednarczyk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 30 / 100
Carina Gubin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Carina Gubin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora VS Carina Gubin
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057