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Stadium Background

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Plonka M.

AI Match Summary

Goczalkowice Zdroj in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goczalkowice Zdroj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
40%
Draws
29%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora have won more games recently than Goczalkowice Zdroj.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 15%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:0
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:0
May 4, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Plonka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 31 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057