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Karlbergs vs AFC Eskilstuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ahmed I.
25'
Sub
Fernandez H. In: Lalic M.
Out: Fernandez H.
48' Event
Ahmed I.

AI Match Summary

AFC Eskilstuna in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Eskilstuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
47%
AFC Eskilstuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Eskilstuna have won more games recently than Karlbergs.
  • Win probability leans AFC Eskilstuna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs AFC Eskilstuna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs AFC Eskilstuna
0:3
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs
1:2
Jun 4, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs AFC Eskilstuna
4:2
May 29, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hanson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 10 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs AFC Eskilstuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Karlbergs scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

AFC Eskilstuna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Karlbergs has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS AFC Eskilstuna
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

AFC Eskilstuna

(Away)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
13 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)