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Karlbergs vs Kvarnsveden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 game between Karlbergs and Kvarnsveden finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Karlbergs
15%
Draws
0%
Kvarnsveden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kvarnsveden haven't matched Karlbergs's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Karlbergs's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlbergs here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 68%
Kvarnsveden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs Kvarnsveden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.43 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs Karlbergs
0:3
May 6, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs Kvarnsveden
4:0
Oct 30, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs Kvarnsveden
4:1
Sep 25, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs Karlbergs
0:1
Aug 15, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs Karlbergs
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 95 / 100
Kvarnsveden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs Kvarnsveden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlbergs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvarnsveden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Kvarnsveden's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Karlbergs scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
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Kvarnsveden

(Away)
22 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 4
FC Arlanda
14 Oct
FC Jarfalla
7 : 0
Kvarnsveden
07 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 8
Enskede
30 Sept
Hudiksvall
8 : 1
Kvarnsveden
23 Sept
Kvarnsveden
0 : 6
Viggbyholms
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlbergs 26 18 5 3 60:25 59
2 Enskede 26 17 5 4 74:25 56
3 FC Jarfalla 26 16 2 8 59:33 50
4 FC Arlanda 26 14 4 8 54:40 46
5 Gute 26 14 2 10 37:31 44
6 Viggbyholms 26 12 4 10 51:41 40
7 Hudiksvall 26 11 5 10 53:43 38
8 Osteraker IFK 26 10 6 10 40:41 36
9 Sandvikens AIK 26 11 3 12 39:40 36
10 Kungsangen 26 11 3 12 41:49 36
11 Skiljebo 26 10 4 12 58:45 34
12 IK Franke 26 7 7 12 40:51 28
13 IFK Uppsala 26 2 4 20 26:82 10
14 Kvarnsveden 26 1 2 23 15:101 5
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 (Relegation)