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Karlburg vs Eltersdorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gobhardt M.

AI Match Summary

Eltersdorf in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eltersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Karlburg
20%
Draws
64%
Eltersdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eltersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eltersdorf lately — more wins on the board than Karlburg.
  • Eltersdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Eltersdorf have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 20%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlburg Eltersdorf
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Eltersdorf
0:1
Sep 17, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Karlburg
3:0
Sep 19, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Karlburg
5:0
Aug 11, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Eltersdorf
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlburg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Eltersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobhardt M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlburg 10 / 100
Eltersdorf 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlburg Eltersdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltersdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltersdorf let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Eltersdorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Karlburg found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Eltersdorf
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlburg

(Home)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
Page 1 of 6

Eltersdorf

(Away)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 3
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)