Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlovac vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karlovac
20%
Draws
33%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlovac lately — more wins on the board than Bistra.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Karlovac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 19%
Bistra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Bistra
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Bistra
0:0
Sep 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Karlovac
1:0
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Bistra
3:0
Mar 14, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Karlovac
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 85 / 100
Bistra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Karlovac found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (44 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Karlovac remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)