Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlovac vs NK Novalja

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2005/2006 game between Karlovac and NK Novalja finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Novalja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Karlovac
15%
Draws
26%
NK Novalja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlovac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Karlovac taking it.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 19%
NK Novalja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac NK Novalja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.19 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2005 Prva NL
Karlovac vs NK Novalja
0:1
Aug 28, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Karlovac
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 85 / 100
NK Novalja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac NK Novalja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

NK Novalja let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Karlovac has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

NK Novalja lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

NK Novalja

(Away)
28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0
NK Novalja
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1
Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1
NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2
NK Novalja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belisce 22 14 6 2 41:14 48
2 Graficar Vodovod 22 11 6 5 38:21 39
3 Bjelovar 22 11 4 7 25:26 37
4 Vukovar 1991 22 11 2 9 36:21 35
5 NK Koprivnica 22 10 5 7 34:23 35
6 Metalac Osijek 22 9 6 7 28:16 33
7 Marsonia 22 9 4 9 25:30 31
8 NK Cakovec 22 7 7 8 33:40 28
9 Granicar Zupanja 22 7 4 11 28:28 25
10 Dilj 22 6 6 10 28:44 24
11 Slavonija Pozega 22 5 7 10 30:42 22
12 Mladost Molve 22 2 3 17 23:64 9
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sibenik 21 14 4 3 46:24 46
2 NK Pomorac 21 10 9 2 44:21 39
3 Croatia Sesvete 22 11 2 9 39:30 35
4 NK Novalja 22 10 3 9 36:29 33
5 Imotski 22 8 8 6 27:26 32
6 Dragovoljac 21 8 7 6 27:26 31
7 Naftas Ivanic 21 8 7 6 28:30 31
8 Zadar 22 7 6 9 29:27 27
9 NK Mosor 22 6 7 9 21:36 25
10 Solin 22 5 6 11 37:39 21
11 Segesta 22 6 2 14 21:41 20
12 Karlovac 22 4 5 13 18:44 17
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)