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Stadium Background

Karlovac vs Ponikve

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

3 - 1
FT
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Karlovac and Ponikve finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Karlovac
15%
Draws
48%
Ponikve
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ponikve haven't matched Karlovac's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Karlovac's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 19%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Ponikve
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2022 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Ponikve
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Karlovac
1:1
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Karlovac
0:1
Aug 22, 2020 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Ponikve
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 49 / 100
Ponikve 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Ponikve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Ponikve's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Karlovac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
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Ponikve

(Away)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)