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Stadium Background

Karlovac vs Rijeka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

1 - 4
FT
Rijeka Logo

Rijeka

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Adu Adjei D.
23' Event
Adu Adjei D.
41' Event
Adu Adjei D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Karlovac
15%
Draws
48%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 14%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Rijeka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Croatian Cup
Karlovac vs Rijeka
1:4
May 12, 2012 HNL
Karlovac vs Rijeka
1:2
Nov 20, 2011 HNL
Rijeka vs Karlovac
3:0
Jul 9, 2011 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Rijeka
1:0
Mar 5, 2011 HNL
Rijeka vs Karlovac
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapulica L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Adu Adjei D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mohebi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 27 / 100
Rijeka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Karlovac stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rijeka let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS Rijeka
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
20 Oct
Karlovac
1 : 4
Rijeka
16 Oct
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 1
Karlovac
09 Oct
Karlovac
3 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Rijeka

(Away)
20 Oct
Karlovac
1 : 4
Rijeka
16 Oct
Rudes
1 : 2
Rijeka
11 Oct
Slaven Belupo
4 : 1
Rijeka
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac 1
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -