Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlovy Vary vs Usti nad Labem

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Stadion Drahovice, Karlovy Vary
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Diarra Y.
32' Event
Bzura J.
37' Event
Diarra Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Karlovy Vary
15%
Draws
46%
Usti nad Labem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Usti nad Labem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Usti nad Labem lately — more wins on the board than Karlovy Vary.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Usti nad Labem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Usti nad Labem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Usti nad Labem have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Karlovy Vary Clean Sheet 10%
Usti nad Labem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovy Vary Usti nad Labem
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.18 1.84
Goals Conceded 2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 MOL Cup
Karlovy Vary vs Usti nad Labem
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Karlovy Vary
6:0
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Karlovy Vary
3:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Karlovy Vary
6:0
Feb 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Karlovy Vary
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlovy Vary Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Usti nad Labem Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bzura J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovy Vary 34 / 100
Usti nad Labem 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovy Vary Usti nad Labem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usti nad Labem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Karlovy Vary scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Usti nad Labem conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Karlovy Vary has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlovy Vary VS Usti nad Labem
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovy Vary

(Home)
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
18 Sept
Karlovy Vary
2 : 0
Sokolov
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
05 Sept
Karlovy Vary
3 : 4
Vysehrad
29 Aug
Velvary
2 : 1
Karlovy Vary
Page 1 of 6

Usti nad Labem

(Away)
20 Sept
Ostrava B
0 : 2
Usti nad Labem
11 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 2
Jihlava
04 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 1
Slavia Prague B
29 Aug
Taborsko
0 : 1
Usti nad Labem
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/64-finals
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/32-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
1/16-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Vsetin -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
Dukla Prague -
Jablonec -
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Jihlava -
Plzen -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -