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Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Feizi S.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Bjornson L.
30' Event
Bengtsson L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Karlskrona and Vaxjo Norra finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Karlskrona
30%
Draws
26%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlskrona come out ahead of Vaxjo Norra on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlskrona here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra
5:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
4:0
Oct 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bengtsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karlskrona remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vaxjo Norra conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS Vaxjo Norra
3.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 23 13 3 7 58:30 42
4 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
5 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
6 Nosaby IF 23 10 6 7 42:37 36
7 Vaxjo Norra 23 9 8 6 31:31 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Solvesborgs 23 9 1 13 35:42 28
10 Lilla Torg 23 6 10 7 31:38 28
11 Staffanstorp United 23 5 8 10 33:41 23
12 Torns 23 7 0 16 31:64 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 23 3 2 18 24:60 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)