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Karlslund vs Nykopings

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Andbjer R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Karlslund and Nykopings finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nykopings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karlslund
20%
Draws
33%
Nykopings
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlslund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nykopings come out ahead of Karlslund on wins alone.
  • Karlslund are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nykopings have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 15%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlslund Nykopings
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:2
May 7, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
2:0
Jul 11, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlslund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Andbjer R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlslund 41 / 100
Nykopings 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlslund Nykopings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karlslund scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nykopings conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Karlslund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlslund VS Nykopings
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlslund

(Home)
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
30 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 1
Syrianska
22 Aug
Lindo FF
0 : 1
Karlslund
Page 1 of 6

Nykopings

(Away)
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
29 Aug
Nykopings
1 : 3
Ragsved
22 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2
Nykopings
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 21 13 4 4 47:32 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 21 11 3 7 49:38 36
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
12 Syrianska 21 5 5 11 30:48 20
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 21 4 3 14 22:60 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)