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Karlslund vs Nykopings

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlslund play Nykopings in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. Nykopings are favorites here. Recently, Karlslund averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Nykopings averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Karlslund won 0, Nykopings won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Karlslund and 1.63 for Nykopings. This points to a Nykopings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Karlslund
15%
Draws
66%
Nykopings
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Karlslund picked up more points recently compared to Nykopings.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 14%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlslund Nykopings
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:2
May 7, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
2:0
Jul 11, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlslund Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Andbjer R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlslund 20 / 100
Nykopings 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlslund Nykopings

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nykopings & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlslund attacking → ← attacking Nykopings

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlslund scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Nykopings let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Karlslund went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nykopings lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 61
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337