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Karlsruher vs Shimizu S-Pulse

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlsruher host Shimizu S-Pulse in the Club Friendly. Karlsruher are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Karlsruher at 1.25 goals for, 1.88 against; Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.13 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Karlsruher slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 1-2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Karlsruher. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karlsruher
39%
Draws
31%
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shimizu S-Pulse come out ahead of Karlsruher on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlsruher Shimizu S-Pulse
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1-2
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Karlsruher
2-2
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Karlsruher
2-0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlsruher 31 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlsruher Shimizu S-Pulse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimizu S-Pulse let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Karlsruher's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Karlsruher stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlsruher VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%