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Karlstad II vs Nordvarmland

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlstad II play Nordvarmland in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karlstad II averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Nordvarmland averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. In past meetings, Karlstad II won 1, Nordvarmland won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Aug 11, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.33 for Karlstad II and 1.65 for Nordvarmland. This points to a Karlstad II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karlstad II
6%
Draws
4%
Nordvarmland
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlstad II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karlstad II demonstrates higher offensive output (1.25 avg goals) than Nordvarmland (0.8 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Karlstad II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 13%
Nordvarmland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Nordvarmland
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Nordvarmland
1:1
Jun 9, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs Karlstad II
0:1
Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs Karlstad II
2:2
Jun 21, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Nordvarmland
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 84 / 100
Nordvarmland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Nordvarmland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad II scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Nordvarmland let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Karlstad II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nordvarmland lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Nordvarmland
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.4
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oddevold28225175:1271
2Forward28232393:3271
3Angered BK28173878:4854
4Ahlafors28146858:4848
5Stenungsunds IF281441055:5346
6Gauthiod281231348:5439
7Nordvarmland281051344:4535
8Kumla28971243:5034
9Vanersborgs FK281041444:6934
10Yxhults IK28891145:4833
11Grebbestad28951445:5332
12Lidkoping28861444:4930
13Karlstad II28861446:6530
14IFK Skovde28581544:6423
15Tidaholm IFK28332223:9512