Sport Picks
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Division 2 - Norra Götaland 
Match Events
5'
5'
Afrah H.
15'
15'
Filipsson E. C.
61'
61'
Johansson M.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Karlstad II and Vanersborgs FK finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanersborgs FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Vanersborgs FK carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vanersborgs FK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vanersborgs FK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 14%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karlstad II | Vanersborgs FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
1:3
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:2
Aug 22, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:1
Jul 31, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
2:4
Sep 27, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karlstad II Compare
Top Goalscorer Afrah H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Vanersborgs FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Filipsson E. C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karlstad II 23 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karlstad II Vanersborgs FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vanersborgs FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanersborgs FK has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.
Karlstad II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vanersborgs FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Karlstad II VS Vanersborgs FK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Karlstad II
(Home) 04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3 Tord
27 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0 Karlstad II
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2 Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4 Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2 Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3 Tord
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2 Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4 Skara
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3 Vanersborgs FK
16 Aug
Karlstad II
0 : 0 Lidkoping
Page 1 of 3
Vanersborgs FK
(Away) 08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3 Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0 Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3 Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2 Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1 Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0 Vanersborgs FK
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1 Vanersborgs FK
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3 Vanersborgs FK
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2 Vanersborgs FK
07 Aug
Skara
4 : 0 Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 58:18 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 52:26 | 56 |
| 3 | IFK Skovde | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 43 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 43:36 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 44:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 42:33 | 33 |
| 8 | Vanersborgs FK | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Lidkoping | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29:42 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 35:38 | 26 |
| 11 | Kumla | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:45 | 26 |
| 12 | Tord | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:43 | 21 |
| 13 | Karlstad II | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | 13 |
| 14 | Vanersborgs IF | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 24:69 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)
