Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Hedlof B.
46'
Sub
Djerlek A. In: Alfonsi D.
Out: Djerlek A.
46'
Sub
Kack Ofordu K. In: Bengtsson J.
Out: Kack Ofordu K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlstad and Hammarby TFF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby TFF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Karlstad
17%
Draws
70%
Hammarby TFF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hammarby TFF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby TFF come out ahead of Karlstad on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby TFF taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 16%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Hammarby TFF
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlstad
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlstad
1:1
Apr 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedlof B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadarangani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 15 / 100
Hammarby TFF 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Hammarby TFF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Hammarby TFF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Karlstad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Hammarby TFF
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368