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Karmiotissa vs Ermis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Cyprus Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Karmiotissa at 1.59 goals for, 1.21 against; Ermis at 0.76 for, 2.34 against. Head-to-head, Karmiotissa have won 0 to Ermis's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2022, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.02, favoring Karmiotissa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Karmiotissa
30%
Draws
52%
Ermis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ermis haven't matched Karmiotissa's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ermis taking it.
  • Karmiotissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa Ermis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 2
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.59 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Ermis
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Division 2
Ermis vs Karmiotissa
1:0
May 17, 2021 Cyprus League
Ermis vs Karmiotissa
7:1
Mar 19, 2021 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Ermis
2:2
Jan 15, 2021 Cyprus League
Ermis vs Karmiotissa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 24 / 100
Ermis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa Ermis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Karmiotissa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Karmiotissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS Ermis
2.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

Ermis

(Away)
10 Oct
Polemidion
0 : 1
Ermis
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
20 Sept
Ermis
1 : 2
PAEEK
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AEK Larnaca -
Akritas Chloraka -
Omonia 29th May -
Polemidion -
Doxa -
Ol. Nicosia -
Kitiou -
Krasava -
Aris Limassol -
Achnas -
Omonia Aradippou -
Digenis Akritas -
AEL Limassol -
Iraklis Yerolakkou -
Nea Salamis -
Apea Akrotiriou -
Karmiotissa -
Ermis -
APOEL -
Halkanoras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -