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Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mwale W.
37' Event
Chiwaya M.
45' Event
Chiwaya M.

AI Match Summary

Dedza Dynamos in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dedza Dynamos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Karonga United
35%
Draws
38%
Dedza Dynamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Karonga United have won more games recently than Dedza Dynamos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 14%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karonga United Dedza Dynamos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos
3:1
May 18, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Karonga United
0:4
Nov 17, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Karonga United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karonga United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwale W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiwaya M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mpinganjira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karonga United 31 / 100
Dedza Dynamos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karonga United Dedza Dynamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karonga United scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Dedza Dynamos conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Karonga United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karonga United VS Dedza Dynamos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karonga United

(Home)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1
Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 6

Dedza Dynamos

(Away)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 14 8 5 1 26:9 29
3 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
4 Blue Eagles 14 9 1 4 22:15 28
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)