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Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Afyonkarahisaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Aytekin H.
Own Goal
26' Event
San E.
51' Event
San E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Karsiyaka
30%
Draws
33%
Afyonkarahisaspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Karsiyaka have won more games recently than Afyonkarahisaspor.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Karsiyaka taking it.
  • Karsiyaka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Karsiyaka, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 20%
Afyonkarahisaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Afyonkarahisaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka vs Afyonkarahisaspor
3:1
Mar 28, 1998 1. Lig
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Jan 25, 1998 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Afyonkarahisaspor
1:2
Oct 19, 1997 1. Lig
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Karsiyaka
4:2
Aug 3, 1997 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Afyonkarahisaspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer San E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozturk E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Afyonkarahisaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 85 / 100
Afyonkarahisaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Afyonkarahisaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Afyonkarahisaspor conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Karsiyaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Afyonkarahisaspor
3.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 7

Afyonkarahisaspor

(Away)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
15 Sept
Afyonkarahisaspor
2 : 1
Urgupspor Kulubu
19 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
8 : 0
Afyonkarahisaspor
12 May
Afyonkarahisaspor
3 : 1
Yozgatspor
05 May
Buyukcekmece Gucu
1 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
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Aksehirspor -
TBD -
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Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
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Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
TBD -
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Musspor -
Pazarspor -
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Erbaaspor -
TBD -
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Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
TBD -
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Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
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Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
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Gemlikspor -
TBD -
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
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Hatayspor -
TBD -
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Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
TBD -
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
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Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
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Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
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Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
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Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
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Golcukspor -
TBD -
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Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
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Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
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Soma Spor -
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Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
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Adana Adaletgucu -
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
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Silifke -
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Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
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Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
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Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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Malatya -
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Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
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Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
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Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
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Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
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Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
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Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
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Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
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52 Orduspor -
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