Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Altay

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sezgin O. F.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Sezgin O. F.
Assist: Aslan M.
65' Event
Aytekin H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Karsiyaka in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karsiyaka
6%
Draws
4%
Altay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karsiyaka lately — more wins on the board than Altay.
  • Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Altay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Altay
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 4 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Altay
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Karsiyaka
1:1
Apr 8, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Altay vs Karsiyaka
1:2
Nov 19, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Karsiyaka vs Altay
1:2
Sep 24, 2014 Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka vs Altay
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezgin O. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eroglu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Altay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 95 / 100
Altay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Altay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Altay let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karsiyaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Altay
4 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Altay

(Away)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
29 Mar
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Altay
25 Mar
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)