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Karsiyaka vs Altay Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sezgin O. F.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Sezgin O. F.
Assist: Aslan M.
65' Event
Aytekin H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Karsiyaka in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Karsiyaka
35%
Draws
46%
Altay
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karsiyaka lately — more wins on the board than Altay.
  • Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Altay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Altay
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Karsiyaka vs Altay
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Altay
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Karsiyaka
1:1
Apr 8, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Altay vs Karsiyaka
1:2
Nov 19, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Karsiyaka vs Altay
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezgin O. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eroglu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Altay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 51 / 100
Altay 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Altay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Altay let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karsiyaka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Altay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 7

Altay

(Away)
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
15 Sept
Altay
2 : 4
Soke 1970
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Altay
1 : 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)