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Karsiyaka vs Ergene Velimese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gayla A.
52' Event
Kurt I.
58' Event
Kupeli S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between Karsiyaka and Ergene Velimese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Karsiyaka
20%
Draws
42%
Ergene Velimese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Karsiyaka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karsiyaka a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Ergene Velimese
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.03 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ergene Velimese
4:0
Nov 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Karsiyaka
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Ergene Velimese vs Karsiyaka
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Karsiyaka vs Ergene Velimese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayla A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurt I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Ergene Velimese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 95 / 100
Ergene Velimese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Ergene Velimese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karsiyaka scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Ergene Velimese let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Karsiyaka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 7

Ergene Velimese

(Away)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 30 21 7 2 64:17 70
2 Karsiyaka 30 18 6 6 56:28 60
3 Musspor 30 16 10 4 48:24 58
4 Kutahyaspor 30 17 7 6 57:37 58
5 Duzcespor 30 16 8 6 40:27 56
6 Silifke 30 14 7 9 51:36 49
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 26:30 39
9 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 7 10 13 27:32 31
10 Kahramanmarasspor 30 8 6 16 28:39 30
11 Bulvarspor 30 7 9 14 35:58 30
12 Kirsehir SK 30 7 8 15 26:48 29
13 Bornova 1877 30 6 10 14 36:53 28
14 23 Elazig FK 30 5 11 14 18:31 26
15 Kusadasispor 30 7 3 20 25:51 24
16 Ergene Velimese 30 6 5 19 17:50 23
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)