Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Kardemir Karabuk

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Samican K.
46' Event
Celik N. B.
87' Event
Deniz I. F.

AI Match Summary

Karsiyaka in this 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karsiyaka
6%
Draws
4%
Kardemir Karabuk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karsiyaka have won more games recently than Kardemir Karabuk.
  • Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Kardemir Karabuk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Kardemir Karabuk
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 23 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 4 28
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Karsiyaka vs Kardemir Karabuk
4:0
Oct 3, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Kardemir Karabuk vs Karsiyaka
0:4
Sep 30, 2021 Turkish Cup
Kardemir Karabuk vs Karsiyaka
1:3
Mar 12, 2016 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Kardemir Karabuk
0:2
Oct 17, 2015 1. Lig
Kardemir Karabuk vs Karsiyaka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Samican K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celik N. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kardemir Karabuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 95 / 100
Kardemir Karabuk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Kardemir Karabuk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kardemir Karabuk conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Karsiyaka scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Karsiyaka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erokspor34237484:2676
2Fethiyespor34206864:3466
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu341715242:1866
4Orduspor 196734197866:3364
5Ofspor34179865:4360
6Guzide Gebzespor341415551:2857
7Kirikkale FK34169951:2957
8Karsiyaka341116755:3449
9Edirnespor Genclik341391250:3648
10Tepecik3411111249:4244
11Karakopru3410141046:3944
12Agri 1970341261639:4342
13Gumushanespor349141139:3641
14Cankaya FK341181537:4441
15Mardin 1969349101542:4237
16Modafenspor347111637:5032
17Kardemir Karabuk34113211:1264
18Ceyhanspor34043012:1374