Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Kutahyaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cengiz S.
Assist: Cift A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Karsiyaka and Kutahyaspor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kutahyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karsiyaka
6%
Draws
4%
Kutahyaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kutahyaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Kutahyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Kutahyaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 24
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 4 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Kutahyaspor
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Kutahyaspor vs Karsiyaka
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Kutahyaspor vs Karsiyaka
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Kutahyaspor
1:1
May 16, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Kutahyaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Kutahyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cengiz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 95 / 100
Kutahyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Kutahyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Karsiyaka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kutahyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Kutahyaspor
4 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Kutahyaspor

(Away)
19 Apr
Soke 1970
1 : 0
Kutahyaspor
12 Apr
Kutahyaspor
2 : 0
Bornova 1877
05 Apr
Eskisehirspor
4 : 0
Kutahyaspor
29 Mar
Kutahyaspor
1 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
25 Mar
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 1
Kutahyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)