Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Karvan play Neftci Baku in the Premier League. Neftci Baku are favorites here. Recently, Karvan averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Neftci Baku averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Karvan won 0, Neftci Baku won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Karvan and 2.13 for Neftci Baku. This points to a Neftci Baku double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Karvan picked up more points recently compared to Neftci Baku.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karvan | Neftci Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karvan Compare
Neftci Baku Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karvan scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Neftci Baku let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Karvan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Neftci Baku lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |